"Life", politics, weather

THEWEATHERMOGIL:: Super Tuesday primary weather, not so super in three states

“Super Tuesday,” perhaps the biggest single day of primary election year voting, has arrived. Twelve states have Republican primaries or caucuses; ten states have Democratic primaries (with American Samoa holding a caucus). Six of the primary states are in the Deep South, with three states (Alabama, Georgia and Tennessee) in the Southeast and three (Oklahoma, Texas and Arkansas) across or near the southern Plains. As noted over a week ago, many of the southern “Super Tuesday” states are expected to experience some weather impacts – either rain and/or severe weather (Fig. 1 and Fig. 2).

What are the Super Tuesday states?

Both Democrats and Republicans: Alabama, Arkansas, Colorado, Georgia, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Oklahoma, Texas, Vermont and Virginia.

Republicans only: Tennessee primary and Alaska caucus.

Democrats only: American Samoa caucus.

The southeastern part of the Nation will be faced with the risk of locally heavy rainfall and possibly severe storms (reminiscent in some ways of the Super Tuesday tornado outbreak of Feb. 5 – 6, 2008). Arkansas and the eastern parts of Oklahoma will have a chilly morning rain, followed by cloudy skies (Fig. 1 and Fig. 2). Texas will be warm to start, with a cool down as the day unfolds. Alabama and Georgia will see wet weather later today and tonight, as primaries wind down. Otherwise, the weather should be mostly “good,” across the remainder of today’s primary landscape territory.

After today’s primaries and caucuses, I’ll provide periodic updates during the next week or so to keep the weather in focus as additional key primaries take place. Then, look for a continued period of updates for the next three months, thanks to a spate of primaries that doesn’t end until June 14.

Regardless of your party affiliation or political beliefs, I encourage you to use your right and responsibility to vote. I will be voting in the Florida primary on Mar. 15, regardless of the weather.

© 2016 H. Michael Mogil

Originally posted 3/1/16

"Life", politics, weather

THEWEATHERMOGIL:: A vote for mostly nice weather

“Super Tuesday,” perhaps the biggest single day of primary election year voting, arrives in a little more than a week. Twelve states have Republican primaries or caucuses; ten states have Democratic primaries (with American Samoa holding a caucus). Six of the primary states are in the Deep South, with three states (Alabama, Georgia and Tennessee) in the Southeast and three (Oklahoma, Texas and Arkansas) across or near the southern Plains. All “Super Tuesday” states are noted in the listing below.

What are the Super Tuesday states?

Both Democrats and Republicans: Alabama, Arkansas, Colorado, Georgia, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Oklahoma, Texas, Vermont and Virginia.

Republicans only: Tennessee primary and Alaska caucus.

Democrats only: American Samoa caucus.

I singled out the states above because two areas are expected to have some weather problems that day. The Southeastern states will be faced with locally heavy rainfall and possibly severe storms (reminiscent in some ways to the Super Tuesday tornado outbreak of Feb. 5 – 6, 2008). Arkansas and the eastern parts of Texas and Oklahoma will have a chilly rain, followed by cloudy skies (Fig. 1).

NATL001-sfc-fcst-160301-18Z

Otherwise, the weather should be mostly “good,” across the Nation.

As with election predictions, outcomes are subject to updating and change. Because of the importance of these primaries and caucuses, we’ll provide periodic updates during the next week or so to keep the weather in focus. We’ll follow that with further updates for the next three months, thanks to a spate of primaries that doesn’t end until June 14.

If you live in any of these states or territories, regardless of your chosen candidate, I encourage you to use your right and responsibility to vote. I will be voting in the Florida primary on Mar. 15, regardless of the weather.

© 2016 H. Michael Mogil

Originally posted 2/21/16

"Life", education, learning, politics

Florida CS/HB 7069 has some positives; overall, not a good bill

The following was sent to Governor Rick Scott early on Apr. 13, 2015. It consolidates many (but not all) of the concerns I have about the “Common Core” (or the Next Generation Sunshine State Standards) that define what and how students in the Sunshine State are supposed to learn…To read the entire feature, click here.

Originally published 4/13/15

climate, climate change, politics, weather

Some new thinking about climate change

WEATHERTORIAL: A few weeks ago, returning from an AAAS (American Association For The Advancement of Science) Conference in San Jose, CA, I had the pleasure of meeting another conference attendee at a San Jose airport restaurant. The gentleman, a biologist from the University of Wisconsin, recognized me as a conference attendee…To read the entire feature, click here.

Originally published 2/28/15

politics

A tale of two CEO’s: GM versus the VA

Two major news stories crossed the press wires during the past few weeks – one involved GM’s callous disregard for safety (13 known fatalities); the other addressed the Department of Veteran’s Affairs (VA) and its callous disregard for the health and well-being of the veterans for whom it was supposed to care (at least 40 suspected deaths)…To read the entire feature, click here.

Originally published 05/27/14