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Tag Archives: hurricane

The winds win! (H. Michael Mogil, CCM, CBM, NWA-DS*)

Today through tomorrow evening, large areas of the Nation and some nearby ocean water areas are under various types of wind warnings. From hurricane-force wind warnings in New England’s offshore waters (large-scale winter storm and intense pressure gradient) to Santa Ana (canyon-channeled) winds in southern California (Fig. 1), the winds

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Extremely dangerous Nicole aims for Bermuda (H. Michael Mogil, CCM, CBM, DMS)

Given her size and strength, Category 4 (EXTREMELY DANGEROUS) Hurricane Nicole is likely to bring major impacts to Bermuda today (Oct. 13, 2016). As of 5:00 a.m. Atlantic Standard Time (A.S.T.) or 5:00 a.m. E.D.T., Nicole was located about 100 miles to the southwest of the tiny island Nation of

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Scheduling the arrival of Matthew’s winds (H. Michael Mogil, CCM, CBM, DMS)

National Weather Service (NWS) offices from Florida northward to the Carolinas have been publishing numerous “local action statements” and other information about Category 4 (Major Hurricane) Matthew (Fig. 1). Included are probabilities of various weather hazards, flooding maps, storm track maps and much more. Local media outlets, reliable weather bloggers,

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Matthew heading for Florida… (H. Michael Mogil, CCM, CBM, DMS)

There’s an old expression about, “proximity.” It goes, “close, but no cigars.” That was clearly contrived in another era. However, in the case of Matthew, close may be close enough. The latest National Hurricane Center’s (NHC) projected track for Matthew brings him very close to the Florida east coast near

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Matthew – a significant threat to the U.S. East Coast… (H. Michael Mogil, CCM, CBM, DMS)

This morning, while Matthew continues to pummel parts of the western Caribbean with high winds, high waves, heavy rainfall, mudslides and more, forecasters are becoming increasingly concerned about Matthew’s future. Matthew now poses a significant risk to much of the U.S. East Coast. Governors in several states have already declared

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Matthew Plods Along… (H. Michael Mogil, CCM, CBM, DMS)

The overall picture of the future of powerful Hurricane Matthew remains little changed since yesterday. Following a cyclonic loop and a slow course adjustment to the northwest, Matthew is still just moving at a five-mile per hour forward speed. Over the next five days, Matthew is expected to make relatively

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Powerful Matthew Takes Aim on Jamaica… (H. Michael Mogil, CCM, CBM, DMS)

Overnight, hurricane hunter aircraft and satellite imagery intensity estimates placed Hurricane Matthew in a Category 5 status. A category 5 hurricane is one with sustained winds of 157 miles per hour (137 knots) or more. At 8:00 a.m. E.D.T., on Oct. 1, 2016, Matthew’s winds were estimated to be just

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Fiona fades; Gaston grows; but there is another tropical system (99L) on Florida’s horizon… (H. Michael Mogil, CCM, CBM, DMS)

Fiona (the sixth Atlantic tropical cyclone of the 2016 season) recently passed. In her wake, Gaston briefly reached hurricane strength far out in the Atlantic. Another tropical system (99L) near the Bahamas is still showing signs of intensifying this weekend as it approaches the Florida Straits. And, more African waves

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The next hurricane…

September 10 marks the average day of peak tropical cyclone activity in the Atlantic Ocean basin (Fig. 1). As we approach that day, the atmosphere is delivering. Early this Monday morning (Aug. 22, 2016), there were three tropical systems at play in the Atlantic – Tropical Depression Fiona and two

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Darby to bring wind and rain to parts of the Hawaiian Islands (H. Michael Mogil, CCM, CBM, DMS)

Tropical Storm Darby, now in his 11th day, is on a westward course at 14 miles per hour toward the Aloha State. At 11:00 a.m. H.S.T. (5:00 p.m. E.D.T.) Darby, with sustained winds of 65 miles per hour, was located some 755 miles southeast of Honolulu, Oahu (and about 560

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