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Tag Archives: jet stream

An Omega Block for the U.K. (H. Michael Mogil, CCM, CBM, NWA-DS*)

The other day, Fred Mills, a colleague in the U.K., penned me a note concerning his weather observations.  First, he noted that promised snowstorms were missing the U.K. (by passing well to the north) and that the weather south of London was actually quite nice for winter.  Then, Mills commented

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Arctic Air Arrives (H. Michael Mogil, CCM, CBM, NWA-DS*)

Apologies to my readers. In my haste to publish this pre-Christmas, I inadvertently omitted the all-important figures. They’ve now been included (1/2/18). It’s time to kiss the autumnal warmth of the past few weeks across the Central U.S. goodbye, as arctic air arrives in the U.S. with a vengeance. For

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Ophelia Racing Toward The U. K. (H. Michael Mogil, CCM, CBM, NWA-DS*)

While the remnants of hurricanes occasionally affect the British Isles, Hurricane Ophelia is going to be much stronger than the average United Kingdom (U.K.) storm. As of early this Sunday morning, Ophelia, still a category 2 hurricane (Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale), was forecast to become extra-tropical before land-falling in Ireland on

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View from the top of the world (H. Michael Mogil, CCM, CBM, DMS)

Santa has been in the news of late. So, I thought it might be fun to take a look at weather from Santa’s perspective. To do this, we’ll have to look at upper level and surface weather maps from a polar-centric perspective. Fortunately, NOAA’s National Center for Environmental Prediction (NCEP)

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THEWEATHERMOGIL:: More heavy rainfall still on tap for southwest Florida

Yesterday morning, I provided information about the flooding potential for southwest Florida. At the time, I indicated that rainfall totals for the upcoming 36 to 42 hours would be in the two to five inch range and that this was atop the nearly two inches that fell across Collier and

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THEWEATHERMOGIL:: More heavy rain on tap for southwest Florida

A quasi-stationary front to the north of Naples, FL will be hanging around Florida at least until Thursday evening (Jan. 28, 2016). To the north and south of this frontal boundary, periods of rain, locally heavy, can be expected. Since individual showers and thunderstorms will be moving over the same

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THEWEATHERMOGIL:: More stormy times followed by chilly weather for southwest Florida

With a potentially crippling snowstorm/blizzard set to affect the mid-Atlantic states today and Saturday, it would be easy to lose a local focus. However, since I am slated to give a weather talk at the Friends of Barefoot Beach Lecture Series tomorrow (Jan. 23, 2016), keeping atop of local conditions

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THEWEATHERMOGIL:: Major snowstorm looms for the Mid-Atlantic

For days, National Weather Service (NWS) computer and manmade forecasts have pointed to a major winter storm for the mid-Atlantic states. Snow and other associated wintry weather was expected as far south as northern Georgia and as far north as southern New England. Now, closer to the event, the bulls-eye

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THEWEATHERMOGIL:: Stormy times for southwest Florida

The first in a series of storm systems and strong cold fronts will be affecting southwest Florida today (Jan. 15, 2015). Heavy showers and thunderstorms, a few of which may turn severe, are on the menu. While this mainly includes strong, gusty thunderstorm winds (up to 60 miles per hour),

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THEWEATHERMOGIL:: National Weather Summary and Outlook – Dec. 30, 2015

Following a rather stormy and deadly Christmas week, and a protracted period of warmth across the eastern U.S., the weather pattern is shifting into a more tranquil mode. In fact, the 7-day quantitative precipitation forecast (QPF), issued by NOAA’s Weather Prediction Center, is calling for mostly dry conditions nationwide for

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