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Tag Archives: Upper level

THEWEATHERMOGIL:: Colorado’s summer monsoon begins

Dateline: Vail, CO During the months of May and June, in many parts of the Nation, you might start hearing talk about the soon-to-arrive, “monsoon.” But, do you really know what the monsoon is? The North American Monsoon provides summer thunderstorms from California to Colorado and from Mexico to Montana.

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THEWEATHERMOGIL:: Wet and windy weather upcoming for south Florida

For more than a week, computer models have suggested a developing rainy period for south Florida during the first part of June. Now, a tropical weather system may enter the equation. Computer models and National Hurricane     Center guidance suggest that a potential tropical low will develop off the Yucatan Peninsula

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THEWEATHERMOGIL:: It’s all about source regions

March has been a mostly mild month across much of the U.S. That’s because upper-level and lower-level winds have been blowing primarily from the west, southwest or south across the Nation. Yes, there have been occasional bursts of chillier air, and these come on the heels of winds from northwest,

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THEWEATHERMOGIL:: Big chill enroute

As the risk for a significant New England snow event wanes, attention is now being focused on a major cool-down across the East and the South. In places where temperatures have been running well above seasonal averages for most of March, tumbling temperatures are now in many forecasts. As of

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THEWEATHERMOGIL:: Out of balance temperatures rule the eastern U.S.

When the upper level winds (I’m talking altitudes of four to eight miles above the Earth’s surface) take on a high-amplitude wave pattern (Fig. 1), strong low-pressure systems often develop. Given the counter-clockwise wind flow around such lows in the Northern Hemisphere, surface or near-ground temperatures typically take on a

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THEWEATHERMOGIL:: More stormy times followed by chilly weather for southwest Florida

With a potentially crippling snowstorm/blizzard set to affect the mid-Atlantic states today and Saturday, it would be easy to lose a local focus. However, since I am slated to give a weather talk at the Friends of Barefoot Beach Lecture Series tomorrow (Jan. 23, 2016), keeping atop of local conditions

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THEWEATHERMOGIL:: Stormy times for southwest Florida

The first in a series of storm systems and strong cold fronts will be affecting southwest Florida today (Jan. 15, 2015). Heavy showers and thunderstorms, a few of which may turn severe, are on the menu. While this mainly includes strong, gusty thunderstorm winds (up to 60 miles per hour),

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THEWEATHERMOGIL:: Winter finally arrives!

As December’s warmth fades into short-term memory, folks nationwide are going to start shivering. Don’t be surprised if you start to hear a transition from, “OMG, it’s soooo warm,” to, “this cold is horrible…wish the weather would warm up.” This transition will be linked to a significant shift in the

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THEWEATHERMOGIL:: National Weather Summary and Outlook – Dec. 30, 2015

Following a rather stormy and deadly Christmas week, and a protracted period of warmth across the eastern U.S., the weather pattern is shifting into a more tranquil mode. In fact, the 7-day quantitative precipitation forecast (QPF), issued by NOAA’s Weather Prediction Center, is calling for mostly dry conditions nationwide for

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Possible severe weather day for the Mid-Atlantic?

A very cold upper level weather system is moving toward the Mid-Atlantic (Fig. 1) this Wednesday morning. Although moisture is limited and surface temperatures probably won’t rise above 70 in Maryland or 75 in North Carolina later today, the coldness of the air at 15 to 20 thousand feet above

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