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Tag Archives: weather

GOES-R is coming (H. Michael Mogil, CCM, CBM, DMS)

NOTE: This is the first of a series I will be writing this week about GOES satellites, specifically the launch of GOES-R. I’m on assignment at the Kennedy Space Center attending a four-day satellite workshop and will be here on Sat., Nov. 19, 2016 to view the launch. As of

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Vertical atmospheric mixing – Part 2 (H. Michael Mogil, CCM, CBM, DMS)

A few weeks ago, I posted an article about vertical atmospheric mixing. The article focused on a single day (Oct. 10, 2016) in Portland, ME. In the article, I looked at both the variability of winds during a 24-hour period (day versus night) and also examined atmospheric soundings. Today, I’d

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Mostly a good weather forecast (H. Michael Mogil, CCM, CBM, DMS)

The following is combined forecast and weather-torial. It reflects my opinions only and not those of the GWCC web site, its directors and/or its correspondent base. During severe weather situations, the media (and the NWS) are quick to note the number of people (in the 10’s of millions) who are,

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Extremely dangerous Nicole aims for Bermuda (H. Michael Mogil, CCM, CBM, DMS)

Given her size and strength, Category 4 (EXTREMELY DANGEROUS) Hurricane Nicole is likely to bring major impacts to Bermuda today (Oct. 13, 2016). As of 5:00 a.m. Atlantic Standard Time (A.S.T.) or 5:00 a.m. E.D.T., Nicole was located about 100 miles to the southwest of the tiny island Nation of

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Vertical atmospheric mixing (H. Michael Mogil, CCM, CBM, DMS)

Most of us have seen what happens when a pot of water, sitting on a heated stove top, starts to boil. Bubbles form on the bottom of the water, and when they get big enough, they start to rise. But, if all the bubbles were to rise without any water

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Scheduling the arrival of Matthew’s winds (H. Michael Mogil, CCM, CBM, DMS)

National Weather Service (NWS) offices from Florida northward to the Carolinas have been publishing numerous “local action statements” and other information about Category 4 (Major Hurricane) Matthew (Fig. 1). Included are probabilities of various weather hazards, flooding maps, storm track maps and much more. Local media outlets, reliable weather bloggers,

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Matthew heading for Florida… (H. Michael Mogil, CCM, CBM, DMS)

There’s an old expression about, “proximity.” It goes, “close, but no cigars.” That was clearly contrived in another era. However, in the case of Matthew, close may be close enough. The latest National Hurricane Center’s (NHC) projected track for Matthew brings him very close to the Florida east coast near

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Matthew – a significant threat to the U.S. East Coast… (H. Michael Mogil, CCM, CBM, DMS)

This morning, while Matthew continues to pummel parts of the western Caribbean with high winds, high waves, heavy rainfall, mudslides and more, forecasters are becoming increasingly concerned about Matthew’s future. Matthew now poses a significant risk to much of the U.S. East Coast. Governors in several states have already declared

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Matthew Plods Along… (H. Michael Mogil, CCM, CBM, DMS)

The overall picture of the future of powerful Hurricane Matthew remains little changed since yesterday. Following a cyclonic loop and a slow course adjustment to the northwest, Matthew is still just moving at a five-mile per hour forward speed. Over the next five days, Matthew is expected to make relatively

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Powerful Matthew Takes Aim on Jamaica… (H. Michael Mogil, CCM, CBM, DMS)

Overnight, hurricane hunter aircraft and satellite imagery intensity estimates placed Hurricane Matthew in a Category 5 status. A category 5 hurricane is one with sustained winds of 157 miles per hour (137 knots) or more. At 8:00 a.m. E.D.T., on Oct. 1, 2016, Matthew’s winds were estimated to be just

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