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Tag Archives: wind

A real cold front is heading to Florida (H. Michael Mogil, CCM, CBM, DMS)

South Florida experiences “cool front” passages fairly often during the chillier months of the year. These bring wind shifts (winds northerly and northwesterly, quickly turning to northeasterly), and a modest drop in temperatures and a more significant drop in dew point temperatures. In summer months, very weak “cool fronts” occasionally

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Vertical atmospheric mixing – Part 2 (H. Michael Mogil, CCM, CBM, DMS)

A few weeks ago, I posted an article about vertical atmospheric mixing. The article focused on a single day (Oct. 10, 2016) in Portland, ME. In the article, I looked at both the variability of winds during a 24-hour period (day versus night) and also examined atmospheric soundings. Today, I’d

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Mostly a good weather forecast (H. Michael Mogil, CCM, CBM, DMS)

The following is combined forecast and weather-torial. It reflects my opinions only and not those of the GWCC web site, its directors and/or its correspondent base. During severe weather situations, the media (and the NWS) are quick to note the number of people (in the 10’s of millions) who are,

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Extremely dangerous Nicole aims for Bermuda (H. Michael Mogil, CCM, CBM, DMS)

Given her size and strength, Category 4 (EXTREMELY DANGEROUS) Hurricane Nicole is likely to bring major impacts to Bermuda today (Oct. 13, 2016). As of 5:00 a.m. Atlantic Standard Time (A.S.T.) or 5:00 a.m. E.D.T., Nicole was located about 100 miles to the southwest of the tiny island Nation of

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Vertical atmospheric mixing (H. Michael Mogil, CCM, CBM, DMS)

Most of us have seen what happens when a pot of water, sitting on a heated stove top, starts to boil. Bubbles form on the bottom of the water, and when they get big enough, they start to rise. But, if all the bubbles were to rise without any water

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Scheduling the arrival of Matthew’s winds (H. Michael Mogil, CCM, CBM, DMS)

National Weather Service (NWS) offices from Florida northward to the Carolinas have been publishing numerous “local action statements” and other information about Category 4 (Major Hurricane) Matthew (Fig. 1). Included are probabilities of various weather hazards, flooding maps, storm track maps and much more. Local media outlets, reliable weather bloggers,

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Matthew heading for Florida… (H. Michael Mogil, CCM, CBM, DMS)

There’s an old expression about, “proximity.” It goes, “close, but no cigars.” That was clearly contrived in another era. However, in the case of Matthew, close may be close enough. The latest National Hurricane Center’s (NHC) projected track for Matthew brings him very close to the Florida east coast near

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Omega block expected across western North America… (H. Michael Mogil, CCM, CBM, DMS)

Computer models keep suggesting the development of an “omega block” across western Canada by late this week. Such a block can involve a splitting of the overall upper level wind flow by a closed high to the north and a closed low to its south (Fig. 1). Alternatively, the pattern

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Tropical Storm Hermine is now getting weird (H. Michael Mogil, CCM, CBM, DMS)

Take a look at today’s early morning (Sept. 3, 2016) Hermine forecast track from the National Hurricane Center – NHC (Fig. 1) and you’ll see several things appear to be, well, just plain weird. However, there is some good rationale behind each of these. First, Hermine is expected to slow

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Darby to bring wind and rain to parts of the Hawaiian Islands (H. Michael Mogil, CCM, CBM, DMS)

Tropical Storm Darby, now in his 11th day, is on a westward course at 14 miles per hour toward the Aloha State. At 11:00 a.m. H.S.T. (5:00 p.m. E.D.T.) Darby, with sustained winds of 65 miles per hour, was located some 755 miles southeast of Honolulu, Oahu (and about 560

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