H. Michael Mogil's Lifelong Learning Blog

    • About Mike and this blog
    • contact us
    • how the weatherworks
Skip to content

THEWEATHERMOGIL:: National Weather Summary and Outlook – Dec. 30, 2015

Posted byH. Michael Mogil December 30, 2015December 30, 2015 Leave a comment on THEWEATHERMOGIL:: National Weather Summary and Outlook – Dec. 30, 2015

Following a rather stormy and deadly Christmas week, and a protracted period of warmth across the eastern U.S., the weather pattern is shifting into a more tranquil mode. In fact, the 7-day quantitative precipitation forecast (QPF), issued by NOAA’s Weather Prediction Center, is calling for mostly dry conditions nationwide for the first week of January 2016 (Fig. 1). Only the southern tier (from California to the Gulf Coast) is expected to see any significant rainfall. The California rainfall (and mountain snowfall) will be very welcomed. The opposite can be said for the Texas and Louisiana precipitation.

This rainfall pattern is linked to a “split flow” upper level wind pattern (Fig. 2). Here, westerly winds at high altitude split as they approach the West Coast, with one wind flow current heading north into the Arctic before plunging southward over the eastern U.S. The other current continues unabated (mostly west-to-east) across the southern states. This keeps moisture locked into the southern states, while allowing colder air masses to cover much of the Nation.

The only anomaly to this overall pattern will the occurrence of “lake effect” snows across favored snow bands, especially to the east and southeast of Lakes Erie and Ontario. Given the warmth of the lakes, and the expected persistency of the northwest wind flow, look for some significant snowfalls during the next week.

© 2015 H. Michael Mogil

Originally published 12/30/15

Tags: 3.14, 99L, AC, AccuWeather, ACE, ACT, advisory, Africa, agriculture, Air Force, air mass, air quality, aircraft, airline, airport, Alabama, Alaska, algal bloom, altitude, altocumulus, answer, Antarctica, anti-crepuscular rays, app, Apple, application, arctic, Arizona, Arkansas, ASD, ashcloud, Atlanta, Atlantic, Atlantic Ocean, autism, autumn, average, aviation, awareness, Bachmann, Bahamas, balloon, Barra, beach, beacherosion, Bermuda, BF, Big Bend, bing, biology, biomes, birds, Black Friday, blizzard, blocking, bomb, Bonita Springs, Boston, Bow, bow echo, brain, Broward, Buffalo, Business, California, calorie, Canada, Candy Crush, canyon, Cape Cod, Cape Verde, CapitalOne, car, Caribbean, Carolinas, Carson, cash back, CAT 1, CAT 5, CategoryFive, CategoryOne, Central Plains, Central U.S., Charlotte, check, checking, Chicago, chill, chilly, Christmas, Christmas Star, circles, cirrus, climate, climate change, climate zones, climatology, cloud, clouds, Coast, coastal flooding, COCORAHS, cold, cold front, college testing, Collier, Collier County, color-blindness, Colorado, Common Core, communication, computer, conjunction, contractor, convection, converge, convergence, cool, cooling degree days, Coronavirus, coverage, covid-19, covid19, credit, creditcards, crepuscular, crepuscular rays, crime, Cristobal, critic, CS/HB 7069, cumulonimbus, cumulus, current, Customer, customer service, cyclone, Dakotas, Darby, data, date, debate, deep south, degree days, Denver, deposition, Des Moines, desert, dew, Dew point, dewpoint, diameter, donut, Doppler radar, Dorian, Dothan, downburst, downdraft, downslope, drought, Dry, dry line, Drying, Dunkin’ Donuts, dust, e-mail, Earth, east, east coast, Eastern Pacific, Eastern Pacific Ocean, eastern US, eddy, Education, Emily, England, enhanced imagery, entrepreneur, equation, erosion, Eta, Europe, evacuation, evaporate, evaporative, eye, eye wall, fall streaks, family, fat, Federal, filters, fire, fire weather, fires, first responders, fish, FL, flash flood, flash flooding, flood, flooding, Florida, FLWX, focal point, fog, folder, folklore, forest fires, Fort Myers, freeze, freezing rain, frequent flyer, front, Frost, Ft. Myers, funnel, funnel cloud, gale, gale warnings, gales, game, garden, garden hose, Gaston, gauge, George Clooney, Georgia, geostationary, GLM, global warming, GM, gmail, GOES, GOES-16, GOES-R, GOESR, google, Gore, government, gradient, Great Lakes, Great Salt Lake, Greenhouse gas, ground fog, Groundhog, grushfire, Guadalupe Mountains, Guadalupe Peak, Gulf Coast, Gulf of Mexico, gust, gusts, hail, hair, Haiti, Harvey, Hawaii, Hawking, health, heat, heating degree days, heavy rain, heavy rainfall, heavy snow, hemisphere, Hendry, Hermine, High, High Plains, high surf, high temperature, high wind warnings, high-pressure, home, homework, Honolulu, hose, Houston, humid, humidity, hurricane, hurricane hunter aircraft, Hurricane Matthew, hurricanes, I75, Ian, ice, ice cap, ice storm, Illinois, image, images, inch, India, Indiana, Indianapolis, infrared, instability, Insurance, Intermountain, IOS, IOS 7, Iowa, iphone, IR, Ireland, Irma, IRS, isothermal layer, Jamaica, Japan, jet stream, Jupiter, Kansas, Karen, kitchen, koppen, Krispy Kreme, lake, lake effect, Lake Erie, Lake Ontario, Lake Tahoe, lake-effect snow, latitude, law, LD, learn, learning, Lee, Lee County, life, lift, Lightning, lightning detection, logic, Long Island, longshore current, Louisiana, low, low temperature, low-pressure, low-pressure system, low-pressure systems, lows, luggage, Macy's, mail, Maine, mall, Marco Island, Mars, Maryland, Massachusetts, math, Mathworks, Matthew, Maui, MCC, MCS, media, Memorial Day, mentor, mentoring, meso-cyclone, mesocyclone, mesoscale, Mesoscale Convective System, meteorological bomb, meteorologist, meteorology, Mexico, Miami, Michigan, microns, mid-atlantic, Midwest, military, Minneapolis, Minnesota, Mississippi, Mississippi River valley, Mississippi Valley, misture, mixing, models, moisture, monsoon, Montague, Montana, moods, moon, mountain, mountains, movie, Naples, NASA, Nate, National Climatic Data Center, National Hurricane Center, natural world, nature, Nebraska, Nevada, New England, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, news, Newton, NHC, NOAA, nor’easter, North Carolina, Northeast, northern, northern hemisphere, Northern Plains, number, numbers, NWS, Oahu, Obamacare, observation, observations, observe, observer, Ohio, Ohio Valley, Okeechobee, Oklahoma, omega, omega block, omega high, online, Ophelia, order, organize, organizing, OS, outbreak, outflow, outflow boundaries, outflow boundary, outlook, Pacific Northwest, Palm Beach, Panhandle, paper, parade, parent, pattern, patterns, Pavlof, pedometer, Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, photographs, photography, Pi, PiDay, Plains, polar, polar vortex, political, ponding, precipitable water, precipitation, preparedness, pressure, pressure gradient, primary, problem, Puerto Rico, Punxsutawney Phil, question, radar, radiosonde, radius, rain, Rain shadow, rainbow, rainbows, raindrop, raindrops, rainfall, rainshadow, rainy, record, records, Red Flag Warnings, red tide, responsibility, review, reward, rewards, Rhode Island, ridge, ridges, rip current, ripple, risk, Rockies, Rocky Mountains, RSW Airport, Russia, safety, Saffir-Simpson, San Diego, San Francisco, Sandy, Santa Ana, SAT, satellite, Saturn, scandal, school, science, Scotland, SDO, sea breeze, sea surface temperature, seabreeze, seas, Season, seasonal, seasons, service, severe, severe thunderstorms, severe weather, shadow, Shinseki, shower, showers, shutdown, Sidewalk, Sierra Nevada, Sky, sky awareness, sky awareness week, sky optics, sky watching, sleet, small craft advisory, smoke, snow, snow removal, snowfall, Snowstorm, social, sounding, south, South Carolina, South Dakota, Southeast, Southeast U.S., southern Plains, southwest, southwest Florida, space, space weather, Spaghetti plot, SPC, spiders, spiral bands, spirals, spotters, spring, St. Cloud, Starbucks, statistics, Steps, StevenHawking, stock, storm, storm damage, storm surge, storm warnings, storms, Stormsurge, STRIIV, structural current, student, students, study, sub-freezing, sublimation, subsidence, summer, summer camp, summer camps, sun, sun dog, sunset, sunspot, Super Tuesday, supercells, supercomputer, surge, SW Florida, Swells, Tampa, technology, teen, temperature, Tennessee, Tennessee River Valley, Tennessee Valley, test, test-taking, tests, Texas, thanksgiving, The Perfect Storm, The Weather Channel, think, thinking, thundersnow, thunderstorm, thunderstorms, tides, time, tornado, tornado warnings, tornado watches, tornadoes, train, training, transportation, travel, tropic, tropical, tropical cyclone, tropical storm, tropical storms, tropical wave, tropical weather, tropicalstorm, tropics, troughs, Tug Hill Plateau, tutoring, twas, TWC, twilight, typhoon, U.K., U.S., UK, unenhanced imagery, updraft, Upper level, upper low, Upper winds, upper-level winds, US, Utah, vacation, vegetation, Venus, veteran, virga, Virginia, virtual, virus, visibility, visible, vocabulary, volcano, vortex, voting, Waikiki, walk, warm, warmth, warning, warnings, warranty, Washington DC, watch, watches, water, water cycle, water vapor, waterspout, Watertown, wave, waves, weather, weather camp, WeatherNation, west, West Coast, West Virginia, Wet-bulb effect, wildfire, wind, wind chill, wind shear, winds, windy, winter, winter storm, Wipha, Wisconsin, word, work, WRN, WV, Wyoming, Yucatan Peninsula,

Post navigation

Previous Post Previous post:
Everyone is a Mentor: My Thoughts on Student Mentoring
Next Post Next post:
THEWEATHERMOGIL:: “Lake Effect” snow machine kicking in to start 2016

No comments

Write a Reply or Comment Cancel reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

You May Also Like:

US Weather Pattern Becoming More Active (H. Michael Mogil, CCM, CBM, NWA-DS*)
The winds win! (H. Michael Mogil, CCM, CBM, NWA-DS*)
Sierra Nevada snowpack increases dramatically; drought conditions wane (H. Michael Mogil, CCM, CBM, NWA-DS*)
THEWEATHERMOGIL:: Western U.S. drought update

H. Michael Mogil's Lifelong Learning Blog

Top